Learn / Strategies / 50% Range Redelivery Strategy

50% Range Redelivery Strategy

Trade the 50% rebalance — advanced difficulty

📊 advanced 📍 The strategy is suited for trading NASDAQ-100 futures during the 9:15-11:30 AM E

Strategy Overview

The 50% Range Redelivery Strategy is a multi-timeframe intraday reversal model that applies to NASDAQ-100 futures. It's based on the concept that price perpetually rebalances to the 50% midpoint of its most recent significant range before deciding to continue or reverse. The strategy uses the Power of Three framework and ICT market maker theory to identify high-probability reversal trades. By focusing on the 50% rebalancing move, the strategy aims to capture the most frequent price movement in the market.

Market Context — When This Strategy Works

The strategy is suited for trading NASDAQ-100 futures during the 9:15-11:30 AM EST window, with a focus on the 10:00 AM EST candle as the key manipulation time. It can also be applied to other instruments, such as S&P 500 futures and Forex, using the same principles.

Introduction to the 50% Range Redelivery Strategy

The strategy is built on the concept of price rebalancing to the 50% midpoint of its most recent significant range. It uses the Power of Three framework and ICT market maker theory to identify high-probability reversal trades.

Multi-timeframe approach
Focus on 50% rebalancing move
Uses Power of Three framework and ICT market maker theory

The Power of Three Framework

The Power of Three framework describes the three-phase intraday price cycle: Accumulation, Manipulation, and Distribution. The strategy uses this framework to identify high-probability reversal trades.

Accumulation phase: price consolidates and creates a range
Manipulation phase: price sweeps one side of the range and runs stops
Distribution phase: price reverses sharply and travels to the equilibrium or opposing liquidity pool

Entry and Exit Rules

The strategy uses a combination of technical indicators and market structure analysis to identify high-probability reversal trades. The entry trigger is an inversion fair value gap (IFVG), and the exit rules are based on a combination of technical indicators and market structure analysis.

Entry trigger: inversion fair value gap (IFVG)
Exit rules: based on technical indicators and market structure analysis

Risk Management and Position Sizing

The strategy uses a fixed dollar amount risk per trade and sizes positions accordingly. The stop loss is placed above the manipulation high, and the break-even trigger is discretionary.

Fixed dollar amount risk per trade
Stop loss placed above manipulation high
Break-even trigger is discretionary

Market Conditions and Filters

The strategy works in trending and ranging markets, and can be filtered using technical indicators and market structure analysis. The strategy avoids trading during major scheduled economic events and when the daily manipulation sweep does not occur.

Trending and ranging markets
Filtered using technical indicators and market structure analysis
Avoids trading during major scheduled economic events

Entry Rules

Identify the dealing range on the daily chart
Establish daily PO3 bias
Mark the H4 PO3 zone
Mark the H1 PO3 zone
Confirm timeframe alignment
Confirm with SMT divergence
Identify the inversion (entry trigger)

Exit Rules

Take profit at 50% equilibrium of the current dealing range
Trail stop aggressively behind each successive lower swing point
Move stop to 50% as a profit floor
Accept break-even outcome if price stops before reaching 50%

Risk Management

Fixed dollar amount risk per trade
Stop loss placed above manipulation high
Break-even trigger is discretionary
Max trades per day: one
Session exposure: 9:15-11:30 AM EST only

Key ICT Concepts Used

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